More oil less democracy

More Oil, Less Democracy: Evidence from Worldwide Crude Oil Discoveries . This article exploits variations in the timing and size of oil discoveries to identify the impact of oil wealth on democracy. I find that discovering 100 billion barrels of oil (approximately the initial endowment of Iraq) pushes a country's democracy level almost 20

Are other factors more important than oil in explaining absence of democracy? state's reliance on either oil or mineral exports tends to make it less democratic;  More Oil, Less Democracy: Evidence from Worldwide Crude Oil Discoveries *. Special thanks to Colin Campbell from the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Fredrik Robelius for providing access to some of the data and institutional details of the oil industry. In all specifications, the oil coefficient is negative and statistically significant, suggesting that more oil discovered is associated with less democratisation. 36 Moreover, the oil‐democracy interaction term is always positive, implying that the negative impact of oil discovery is larger the less democratic the country was before it found oil. barrels of oil pushes their democracy score more than 10 percentage points below trend three decades after the discovery. However, oil discovery has almost no effect for democratic coun-tries. Adding controls for the number of wildcats, oil quality, and oilfield depth, the effect Empirical evidence (Tsui, 2011) shows us that oil discoveries usually lead to slower democratic transition. What is even more worrisome is that oil companies seem to prefer working with a corrupt government. Having the government under control would allow these companies to become less accountable.

In January 2011, prodemocracy protests broke out across the Middle East. For decades, the Middle East has had less democracy, and more oil, than any other world region. This is no coincidence: oil-funded rulers have long used their petrodollars to entrench themselves in power and block democratic reforms.

25 May 2016 Note: Greener colors indicate more democratic countries and redder indicate less democratic. Page 6. 6. Naturally, a lack of democracy can in  most democratic countries in the Middle East, but its limited oil peaked and oil Furthermore, in Kevin Tsui's article, “More Oil, Less Democracy," it is shown. Countries that are rich in petroleum have less democracy, less economic stability, and more frequent civil wars than countries without oil. What explains this oil  8 Sep 2013 Countries that are rich in petroleum have less democracy, less economic stability, and more frequent civil wars than countries without oil. 23 Mar 2016 Omgba (2015) finds the direct effect of oil on democracy. (measured by Polity 2) to be at most of marginal significance, at least after controlling  The emergence of a resource curse – or more properly, a petroleum curse – in treated group) made much less progress towards democracy than the non-oil 

More Oil, Less Democracy: Evidence from Worldwide Crude Oil Discoveries *. Special thanks to Colin Campbell from the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Fredrik Robelius for providing access to some of the data and institutional details of the oil industry.

This article exploits variations in the timing and size of oil discoveries to identify the impact of oil wealth on democracy. I find that discovering 100 billion barrels of oil (approximately the initial endowment of Iraq) pushes a country's democracy level almost 20 percentage points below trend after three decades. Others have argued that the volume of oil plays a prominent role in determining its effects on democracy, positing that the more oil, the less democracy (Tsui 2005). All these studies, though

Tsui, Kevin K ( 2010) More oil, less democracy? Theory and evidence from crude oil discoveries. Economic Journal forthcoming. Google Scholar. Windmeijer, Frank ( 2005) A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators. Journal of Econometrics 126(1): 25-51.

Foreign aid—more precisely official development assistance—is a drop in the bucket Tsui, Kevin, 2011, “More Oil, Less Democracy: Evidence from Worldwide  Least squares esti- mates are positive but smaller than two-stage least squares estimates and statistically insignificant in most cases. This might be due to  1 May 2014 The phrase "African oil" doesn't conjure up much in the way of that oil is at the center of Ghana's economic problems, although at least some  in social benefits either in a total regime change to more democracy or the sole support previous findings, that oil-rich states in the developing world are less 

8 Sep 2013 Countries that are rich in petroleum have less democracy, less economic stability, and more frequent civil wars than countries without oil.

2011] MORE OIL, LESS DEMOCRACY 91 Barro (1999) and Ross (2001) provide some of the earliest empirical evidence for the oil-impedes-democracy hypothesis. In particular, they document a negative statis-tical association between the share of fuel exports in a country's GDP and democracy. Others have argued that the volume of oil plays a prominent role in determining its effects on democracy, positing that the more oil, the less democracy (Tsui 2005). This article exploits variations in the timing and size of oil discoveries to identify the impact of oil wealth on democracy. I find that discovering 100 billion barrels of oil (approximately the initial endowment of Iraq) pushes a country's democracy level almost 20 percentage points below trend after three decades. Others have argued that the volume of oil plays a prominent role in determining its effects on democracy, positing that the more oil, the less democracy (Tsui 2005). All these studies, though Abstract. This paper exploits variations in the timing and size of oil discoveries to identify the impact of oil wealth on democracy. I use a unique dataset from the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas and other sources describing worldwide oil endowment, exploration, discoveries, and oilfield geology.

The resource curse, also known as the paradox of plenty, refers to the paradox that countries Research shows that oil wealth lowers levels of democracy and strengthens autocratic rule. Research finds that the more that states depend on oil exports, the less cooperative they become: they grow less likely to join  15 Feb 2011 This article exploits variations in the timing and size of oil discoveries to identify the impact of oil wealth on democracy. I find that discovering